upcoming articles

–> Rayleigh Lei and Abel Rodriguez. 2026. Modeling Ordinal Survey Data with Unfolding Models. Submitted to Psycometrika. https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.19167.

–> Rayleigh Lei and Yajuan Si. 2026. Calibrating hierarchical Bayesian domain inference for a proportion. Submitted to Journal of Survey Statistics and Methodology. https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.18479.

–> Skylar Shi, Rayleigh Lei, and Abel Rodriguez. 2026. pumBayes: Bayesian Estimation of Probit Unfolding Models for Binary Preference Data in R. Under revision for the Journal of Open Research Software.

–> Marianne Huebner, Rayleigh Lei, and Tim Cole. 2026. Comparing weightlifting performance of Masters athletes across age, body mass, and sex from 2000 to 2025. Revised and resubmitted to International Journal of Sports Physiology and Performance.



journal articles

–> Sunrit Chakraborty*, Rayleigh Lei*, and (Xuan)Long Nguyen. 2026. Learning Topic Hierarchies by Tree-Directed Latent Variable Models. Bernoulli. https://www.bernoullisociety.org/publications/bernoulli-journal/bernoulli-journal-papers.
* co-first author

–> Rayleigh Lei and Abel Rodriguez. 2025. Logistic Unfolding Models for Binary Preference Data. Statistics and Computing, 35 (41). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11222-025-10570-5.

–> Rayleigh Lei and Abel Rodriguez. 2025. A Novel Class of Unfolding Models for Binary Preference Data. Political Analysis, 33 (1), 32-48. https://doi.org/10.1017/pan.2024.11.

–> Rayleigh Lei and Abel Rodriguez. 2024. Dynamic Factor Models for Binary Data in Circular Spaces: An Application to the U.S. Supreme Court. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics, Volume 73, Issue 4, Pages 1042 - 1064. https://doi.org/10.1093/jrsssc/qlae025.

–> Sunrit Chakraborty, Aritra Guha, Rayleigh Lei, XuanLong Nguyen. Proceedings of the Thirty-Ninth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, PMLR 216:282-292, 2023. https://proceedings.mlr.press/v216/chakraborty23a.html.

–> Aritra Guha, Rayleigh Lei, Jiacheng Zhu, XuanLong Nguyen, and Ding Zhao. 2022. Robust unsupervised learning of temporal dynamic vehicle-to-vehicle interactions, Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, Volume 142, 103768, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2022.103768.

–> Rayleigh Lei, Andrew Gelman, and Yair Ghitza. 2017. The 2008 Election: A Preregistered Replication Analysis. Statistics and Public Policy, 4 (1), 1-8. https://doi.org/10.1080/2330443X.2016.1277966.

dissertation

–> Modeling Simplex-value Data and Latent Structures. 2022. https://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/handle/2027.42/174205.